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Danske Bank Conference

Caitlin Maher • Jan 31, 2024

I hosted a panel discussion featuring Conor Lambe, Stephen Kelly and John Paul Coleman, CFA, MCSI about the Northern Irish economy on behalf of Danske Bank UK in association with Ballymena Chamber of Commerce and Industry.

Check out the full podcast at https://lnkd.in/ey8-wUYW and here is a summary of insights:

πŸ‘œ Inflation is at 4.6% and is putting pressure on both household budgets and businesses.

πŸ‘¨‍πŸ’»Unemployment is at 2.1%, which is lower than the UK and long term average of NI.

πŸ“ˆ Growth rate has been modest and is likely to be the same next year.

πŸ’ͺThe Northern Irish economy has been incredibly resilient and there are lots of businesses that are very busy.

πŸ§—‍♀️ It’s important to be cautious in thinking the battle with inflation is won. Markets could be expecting interest rate decreases sooner than central banks plan to give them.

🀝 Check out “Knowledge Transfer Partnerships” with
Ulster University, Innovation Boost with InterTradeIreland and Innovation Vouchers with Invest Northern Ireland.

πŸ’· Higher wages are keeping demand high and the labour market tight. Fiscal policy is also tight across the UK.

πŸ™‹‍♀️ Imagine if you couldn’t recruit anybody else from this day forward, what would you do? Improve the “stickiness” of your company? Cultivate your employer brand? Invest in automation?

🏦 Since inflation and thus interest rates are likely higher in the UK, sterling is likely to be stronger than some benchmark currencies too, as we look toward 2024.

🏑 Do you have your own financial house in order? Your succession plan? Your pension? Your next learning and development adventure?

⚠️ The three risks we face are inflation, political uncertainty and skills shortages.

πŸ€” The uncertainties that 2024 pose are volatility, war, geopolitical tensions, (price and wage) inflation and unknown unknowns.

πŸ”œ As you look towards 2024, think about your decision-making and check out
Annie Duke’s “Thinking in Bets” to help frame your decisions more effectively.

Thank you sincerely to
Clare Megarry and Tom WIGGINS for organising a super occasion. It was a joy to work with you all and thank you for giving me the opportunity to do so.

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